Medical staff: Israeli air strikes on houses in Nu Sillat refugee camp in central Gaza killed at least 20 Palestinians.Market News: If Trump increases import duties on Canada, Canada will consider imposing export duties on uranium and oil.Italian Finance Minister: GDP will increase by 0.7% in 2024.
The 10-year yield of US debt rose more than 1% to 4.316.The Dow Jones Industrial Average is now at 43,983.32 points, down 165.24 points.BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.
International oil prices fell on the 12th. As of the close of the day, the light crude oil futures price for January delivery in the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by 27 cents to close at 70.02 US dollars per barrel, a decrease of 0.38%. London Brent crude oil futures for February delivery in 2025 fell 11 cents to close at $73.41 a barrel, a decrease of 0.15%.USGS: An earthquake of magnitude 5.1 occurred in Izu Islands, Japan.Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian and part-time researcher of Finance Research Institute of Fudan University, said: "Let policy adjustment go ahead of the market curve", and moderately loose monetary policy will intensify countercyclical adjustment. The Central Economic Work Conference determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 was "moderately loose", which was not only based on the analysis of the current economic situation, but also fully considered external uncertainties, and combined with the planning of economic work next year.